Barzin financial earnings predictor

Meridian Financial Engine

Backtest · UPs

Up calls only. The chance is of finishing higher. Up chances are cooled to 0.45 of the distance above 50%, because stated 60–66% up calls hit 38% in this book. Each week lists the large reporters on the Zacks calendar. The chance is Meridian rerun on the session before the reaction, from the price trend and where the stock sat versus its high. The priced move is blank: the morning ORATS summary for these dates was not on this run, so the options card stayed out. Valuation, quality, and earnings surprises are blank too, because those figures are not stored as of that morning. Before the open is that day’s close against the prior close. After the close is the next session. A print with no session time stays unscored. A move inside ±1% is flat.

Overall: 13 of 27 (48%)
Build only: 1 of 1 (100%)
65% and up: no finished calls

Calibration

Each bar is how often an up call finished higher. A 60% call should land near 60%.

  • 50–55%8 names · hit 50% · stated 53%
  • 55–60%17 names · hit 41% · stated 57%
  • 60–66%2 names · hit 100% · stated 62%
  • 66–75%0 names
  • 75%+0 names

No live up call is frozen yet. The rows below are the Q4 replay. The next week locks at 11:30 AM ET on the first open session.

13 of 27 finished up calls matched the close.

Oct 5 – Oct 9 · Delta Air Lines was the call, and it finished flat

  • DALDelta Air LinesCall
    2026-10-09 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +15
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Flat +0.0%

Oct 12 – Oct 16 · ASML Holding was the call, and it finished down 3.9%

  • ASMLASML HoldingCall
    2026-10-14 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +17
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -3.9%
  • TSMTaiwan Semiconductor
    2026-10-15 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    56% · Hold
    Net
    +30
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -1.8%
  • JNJJohnson & Johnson
    2026-10-13 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    53% · Hold
    Net
    +13
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -5.7%
  • CCitigroup
    2026-10-13 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    51% · Hold
    Net
    +3
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -5.6%

Oct 19 – Oct 23 · SAP was the call, and it finished up +3.4%

  • SAPSAPCall
    2026-10-21 · After the close
    Chance of up
    60% · Hold
    Net
    +50
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +3.4%
  • TSLATesla
    2026-10-21 · After the close
    Chance of up
    58% · Hold
    Net
    +19
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -3.1%
  • METAMeta Platforms
    2026-10-21 · After the close
    Chance of up
    58% · Hold
    Net
    +19
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -7.0%
  • TMOThermo Fisher Scientific
    2026-10-21 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    58% · Hold
    Net
    +39
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Flat +1.0%
  • TXNTexas Instruments
    2026-10-21 · After the close
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +32
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -1.8%
  • SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp....
    2026-10-20 · After the close
    Chance of up
    55% · Hold
    Net
    +25
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +7.8%
  • PMPhilip Morris International
    2026-10-21 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    55% · Hold
    Net
    +24
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -1.2%
  • PGProcter & Gamble
    2026-10-22 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    54% · Hold
    Net
    +19
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +5.6%
  • RTXRTX Corporation
    2026-10-20 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    51% · Hold
    Net
    +1
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Flat +0.6%

Oct 26 – Oct 30 · Merck & Co. was the call, and it finished up +3.8%

  • MRKMerck & Co.Call
    2026-10-29 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    62% · Hold
    Net
    +32
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +3.8%
  • LLYEli Lilly
    2026-10-29 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    58% · Hold
    Net
    +39
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +6.6%
  • XOMExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
    2026-10-30 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +33
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +2.2%
  • CVXChevron
    2026-10-30 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +33
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +1.8%
  • VVisa
    2026-10-27 · After the close
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +32
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Flat -0.3%
  • MSFTMicrosoft
    2026-10-28 · After the close
    Chance of up
    56% · Hold
    Net
    +28
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Flat -0.2%
  • ABBVAbbVie
    2026-10-30 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    55% · Hold
    Net
    +25
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +1.4%
  • KOCoca-Cola
    2026-10-27 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    55% · Hold
    Net
    +25
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -1.6%
  • MAMastercard
    2026-10-29 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    54% · Hold
    Net
    +21
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +4.2%
  • SKHYSK Hynix, Inc. - Sponsored ADR
    2026-10-28 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    53% · Hold
    Net
    +6
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +13.3%

Nov 2 – Nov 6 · Advanced Micro Devices was the call, and it finished up +1.0%

  • AMDAdvanced Micro DevicesCall
    2026-11-03 · After the close
    Chance of up
    62% · Build
    Net
    +28
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +1.0%
  • SHOPShopify
    2026-11-03 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    58% · Hold
    Net
    +42
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -8.7%
  • PLTRPalantir Technologies
    2026-11-02 · After the close
    Chance of up
    58% · Hold
    Net
    +18
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -1.6%
  • AAPLApple
    2026-11-02 · After the close
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +34
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -1.9%
  • AMGNAmgen
    2026-11-03 · After the close
    Chance of up
    57% · Hold
    Net
    +33
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +3.7%
  • PFEPfizer
    2026-11-03 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    55% · Hold
    Net
    +25
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -2.2%
  • QCOMQualcomm
    2026-11-04 · After the close
    Chance of up
    54% · Hold
    Net
    +9
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Down -9.5%
  • TMToyota Motor
    2026-11-05 · Before the open
    Chance of up
    53% · Hold
    Net
    +13
    Priced move
    —
    Report-day close
    Up +9.4%